Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

When analyzing the recent performance on second serves, we find that Dimitrov has a slight advantage, winning 46.4% of points compared to Alcaraz's 44.87%. This metric can be a significant indicator in predicting the match outcome.

In return games, Dimitrov also seems to have the upper hand. He has won 44.95% of his opponent's second serve points, while Alcaraz's performance is slightly lower at 40.67%. However, in first serve returns, Alcaraz shows better metrics, winning 23.95% compared to Dimitrov's 20.72%. These statistics are critical when determining the favored player in this head-to-head matchup.

Under pressure, Dimitrov again demonstrates resilience, saving 63.03% of break points, whereas Alcaraz has managed to save 56.16%. Such figures can serve as valuable insights for in-game betting strategies. In terms of breakpoint conversions, Dimitrov maintains a small edge by converting 27.85% compared to Alcaraz's 25.83% of opportunities.

When examining the overall match performance, Alcaraz showcases a superior track record over the past year, winning 82.86% of matches (W/L 58/12). Dimitrov, while still impressive, lags slightly behind with a win percentage of 65.45% (W/L 36/19). The difference in these statistics contributes to the overall prediction for the head-to-head match.

Both players have distinct strengths on different surfaces. Alcaraz excels on grass, boasting an 89% win rate (W/L 24/3), while Dimitrov performs best on indoor hard courts with a 64% win percentage (W/L 123/69). However, Dimitrov's least favorable surface is grass, where he has a 59% win rate (W/L 52/36). Likewise, Alcaraz struggles more on indoor hard courts, achieving a lower 66% win percentage (W/L 25/13).

The player level of competition also provides insight, as Alcaraz has primarily competed at the Grand Slam level, with an impressive 90.48% win rate (W/L 19/2). Meanwhile, Dimitrov has seen most of his action in the Masters series, achieving a 64% win rate (W/L 16/9). When comparing these statistics to predict a favorite, it is essential to consider the level of event each player has been competing in.

Direct head-to-head encounters between Alcaraz and Dimitrov further complement the analysis. They have faced each other five times, with Alcaraz securing victory in three of those matches. Dimitrov, on the other hand, won twice, including the last meeting at the Miami Open. This match ended with Dimitrov triumphing 6-2, 6-4. They have played a total of 11 sets, with Alcaraz winning seven. When matches have extended to a deciding set, Dimitrov holds the advantage, having won their sole encounter under these conditions.

Given these detailed statistics and insights, Alcaraz generally appears to hold the upper hand, particularly with his superior overall performance and surface strengths. Nevertheless, Dimitrov's proficiency in handling pressure situations and recent head-to-head success cannot be disregarded. Analyzing all aspects, the prediction slightly leans towards Alcaraz, considering his overall form and adaptability across different levels of play.